tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1784920910280020735.post4059948660904251331..comments2009-06-27T08:54:22.108-04:00Rebecca Wilderhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09101893640012081618noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1784920910280020735.post-7684054664320936132009-06-27T07:09:18.039-04:002009-06-27T07:09:18.039-04:00&quot;Anonymous&quot; sounds like a perma-bear who was/is caught on the wrong side of trades by the current bear market rally. Like perma-bulls trapped on the slope of hope, the perma-bears are now trapped on the wall of worry.<br /><br />When the likes of Steve Leuthold and Lakshman Achuthan turn somewhat bullish (not to mention fund managers with billions in AUM), retail investors should take notice.<br /><br />As far as the perma-bears&#39; much ballyhooed and hoped for retest of the March low, consider this possibility: What if the March low was a retest of the November low? If so, the perma-bears may be holding dead money until the next Republican president is elected. Maybe perma-bulls are not the only ones who employ the much derided buy-and-hold strategy.<br /><br />P.S. I&#39;m a small-time, novice retail investor who hasn&#39;t made a dime from all the stock market gyrations in the last year, so my commentary is more than suspect.victorberryhttp://openid.aol.com/victorberrynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1784920910280020735.post-14908391610978017122009-06-26T12:05:11.347-04:002009-06-26T12:05:11.347-04:00Redbook? I&#39;ll wait for the monthly retail sales report.<br /><br />Japan exports and inflation - both included in my article above, with no rosy picture.<br /><br />&quot;Exports in Asia: looking a little better, but still WAY down over the year!&quot; (which includes Japan&#39;s May report)<br /><br />You are right, there are very different interpretations. Still contracting, but not as quickly is consistent with all of the releases to which you refer.<br /><br />Thank you for your interpretations.<br /><br />RebeccaRebecca Wilderhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09101893640012081618noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1784920910280020735.post-83540386971650535342009-06-26T11:59:08.662-04:002009-06-26T11:59:08.662-04:00Not seeking pessimism, just facts. Like:Japan&#39;s exports fell at a faster pace in May, extending the nation&#39;s deepest trade slump since World War II.<br /><br />Shipments abroad dropped 40.9 per cent from a year earlier, more than April&#39;s 39.1 per cent decline<br />http://business.smh.com.au/business/japans-export-slump-quickens-20090624-cvxr.html <br /><br />And:Global top exporter sees sliding exports in first quarter <br /> <br /> <br />www.chinaview.cn 2009-06-23 16:47:24 Print <br /> <br /> BERLIN, June 23 (Xinhua) -- Germany has seen sliding volume of exports in the first quarter of this year, signaling that the world&#39;s top exporter was still being ravaged by global economic downturn.<br /> <br />http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-06/23/content_11588242.htm <br /><br />Also:Price-cutting in Japan points to repeat of deflation misery<br />12:30 AM, June 26, 2009<br />Japan, which showed the world how awful a sustained bout of deflation can be, may be heading back into that vortex.<br /><br /><br />The country’s main index of consumer prices dropped 1.1% in May from a year earlier, the biggest decline since 2002, the government said Friday.<br />http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/money_co/2009/06/japan-which-showed-the-world-how-awful-a-sustained-bout-of-deflation-can-be-may-be-heading-back-into-that-vortex--the-coun.html <br /><br />Also:Redbook: US Retail Sales -4.4% First 3 Weeks June Vs May <br />Tue, Jun 23 2009, 12:55 GMT<br />http://www.djnewswires.com/eu <br /><br /><br />Redbook: US Retail Sales -4.4% First 3 Weeks June Vs May <br /><br />NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--National chain store sales fell 4.4% in the first three weeks of June versus the previous month, according to Redbook Research&#39;s latest indicator of national retail sales released Tuesday. <br /><br />The latest numbers are starkly different from recent weeks because they don&#39;t include Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT), which said last month it would no longer provide monthly sales figures. <br /><br />The fall in the index was compared to a targeted 4.1% drop. <br /><br />The Johnson Redbook Index also showed seasonally adjusted sales in the period were down 4.5% compared with June 2008, against a targeted 4.2% fall. <br />http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?StoryId=4f1af5af-ee22-4e26-bd30-c37f46a3c9a9<br /><br />If I want to hear &quot;green shoots flava&quot; chirpings from sell siders and their economists/employees, I&#39;d watch CNBSAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1784920910280020735.post-65791087099054349572009-06-26T10:24:11.151-04:002009-06-26T10:24:11.151-04:00So how do you really feel, Anonymous?<br /><br />It&#39;s weekly data! I only post what came out for the week; some weeks are more comprehensive than others. And furthermore, I call it as I see it - you want pessimism, perhaps there is another website out there that is better suited for your subjectively pessimistic tastes.<br /><br />Thanks for commenting, RebeccaRebecca Wilderhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09101893640012081618noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1784920910280020735.post-719234495211727222009-06-26T09:39:17.932-04:002009-06-26T09:39:17.932-04:00Your optimistic chirpings based on little data and second derivatives is tiresome.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com